难怪世界如此疯狂…
No Wonder The World Seems Deranged...

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/no-wonder-world-seems-deranged

查尔斯·休·史密斯认为,当前世界的“混乱”源于当权者们绝望地坚持过时的意识形态,尽管有压倒性的证据表明这些意识形态已经失败。他认为人类需要一个叙事来理解世界,并且不会放弃一个失败的叙事,除非出现一个可行的替代方案。 然而,对于那些“当权者”来说,维持旧的叙事*就是*权力。挑战他们的基础故事会破坏他们的权威和特权。这反映了托马斯·库恩对科学革命的观察——既得利益者会抵制威胁他们地位的新真理,即使数据支持这些真理。 如今的“老卫队”表现出同样的抵制,优先维护他们的权力,而不是适应现实。这在经济、政治和心理领域造成了一种根本性的不连贯,因为人们试图支撑失败的系统,同时又出现了潜在更准确但具有颠覆性的新理解。

相关文章

原文

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog,

No wonder the world seems deranged - it is deranged by the immense strength of an Old Guard clinging onto power by any means available even as the world around them spins into incoherence.

There are many reasons why we fail, but perhaps the most critical one is continuing to do more of what has failed. This has many potential sources, from the psychological (self-sabotage, etc.) to the ideological (the market is the solution to every problem, etc.) to cognitive biases (recency bias, etc.).

One enduring source of continuing to do more of what has failed is hard-wired on a deeper level than mere cognitive biases. One way to summarize this is: we can't let go of a story that explains how the world works unless we have a replacement story in hand.

In short: we must have a story that accounts for the world around us. Not having any story is not possible. We can have multiple overlapping stories--Jungian psychology, general theory of relativity, Keynesian economics, and so on--but we need a story that explains key elements of our experience and what we observe and "know," with know in quotes to indicate that the story we embrace defines what we know and what we can know.

Given this need for a story, we can only relinquish a story that's failing to account for what we observe if we have a better story available: and by "better" I mean one that more accurately accounts for what we observe.

This substitution of a new story for an existing story that no longer makes sense (i.e. offers constructive predictions) of the world is easily confused with another human trait: the power of the Powers That Be rest on a foundational story, and replacing this story removes the source of their power. Replacing the story that empowers them discredits their claim to superiority, effectively stripping away their entitlement to authority and their overweening delusions of grandiosity that come with entering the ranks of the Powers That Be.

This desire to maintain the status quo story as part of maintaining their authority and power is the core dynamic described by Thomas Kuhn in his classic The Structure of Scientific Revolutions: the Old Guard who embraced the story that the universe revolves around the Earth resists accepting the new story that the Earth is an inconsequential minor planet that orbits the sun in a local system which is in motion in much larger structures even as all the observational data undermines their story and supports the new story.

Fast-forward to the present and we have multiple Old Guards clinging to ideological stories that no longer track what we observe. Yet like all previous Old Guards, the Powers That Be are loathe to accept a new story that strips away their claim to authority and all the perquisites of power they currently enjoy.

We live in a world torn between the artifices needed to make "the Earth is the center of the Universe" somewhat plausible even as that story crumbles into incoherence and the formation of a new story that actually tracks reality. In terms of a metaphor, consider a glossy "lifestyle" publication that simultaneously touts a new chocolate cake recipe that is simply out of this world and a new diet to slim down in a healthier way than taking meds with horrible side effects that must be taken for life.

No wonder the world seems deranged--it is deranged by the immense strength of an Old Guard clinging onto power by any means available even as the world around them spins into incoherence.

Economic incoherence:

Political incoherence:

Psychological incoherence:

*  *  *

My new book Investing In Revolution is available at a 10% discount ($18 for the paperback, $24 for the hardcover and $8.95 for the ebook edition). Introduction (free)Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.comSubscribe to my Substack for free

Loading recommendations...

联系我们 contact @ memedata.com