NBC 的支持率民意调查显示拜登惨淡连任的机会直线下降
Dismal NBC Approval Poll Shows Biden's Chances Of Reelection Plummeting

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/dismal-nbc-approval-poll-shows-bidens-chances-reelection-plummeting

NBC 最新民意调查显示,2024 年总统乔·拜登的消息令人担忧。虽然调查显示拜登可能在 2023 年击败前总统唐纳德·特朗普,但新数据表明特朗普在即将到来的总统竞选中具有明显优势。 报告显示,47%的选民支持特朗普,42%的选民支持拜登。 此外,特朗普在经济、边境安全和预防犯罪等关键问题上占据着重要领先地位。 当选民被问及他们认为哪位候选人更有能力时,48% 的人选择了特朗普,而 32% 的人选择了拜登。 一小部分人仍不确定,这表明美国人对拜登的不满情绪日益增加。 随着拜登的支持率跌至历史低点,民主党选民在网上表达了沮丧之情,无法理解其中的原因。 此外,近年来初选期间选民参与率较低,可能表明 11 月选举日的出席人数有限,这可能会导致结果混乱。 鉴于普遍的经济动荡和生活成本上升,如果这种趋势持续下去,拜登获胜的可能性似乎越来越小。 尽管如此,如果持续的不确定性持续到 2024 年投票日,尽管此前表现不佳,拜登仍有机会保住权力。

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原文

Did Joe Biden really have the numbers in 2023 to beat Donald Trump as some surveys indicated?  If he did, he certainly doesn't have them in 2024.  The polls are increasingly ugly for Democrats - public approval for the Biden Administration has hit the lowest levels in modern presidential history next to Jimmy Carter (a man who also mismanaged a stagflationary crisis).  Even the corporate media has been forced to acknowledge that things don't look so good for “the big guy.”  

NBC has released its latest survey, which indicates a growing lead for Donald Trump in the general election (Trump 47% vs Biden 42%), but Trump also has a dramatic edge over Biden in most public issue categories.  On the economy, 55% of respondents preferred Trump vs 33% for Biden.  On border security, 57% wanted Trump and only 22% thought Biden would do a better job.  In dealing with crime, 48% would vote Trump vs. 32% for Biden.  And, when asked which candidate was more competent and mentally capable, 48% said Trump vs 32% for Biden.

A smaller percentage of people in each category chose the option of “not sure.”

NBC polling continues to observe an accelerating decline for Joe Biden in terms of public perception on a host of top concerns.  This seems to mirror his overall low approval rating which just dropped again to 37%

Democrats have taken to social media recently to demand answers, racking their brains trying to figure out why Biden's brand is sinking faster than Bud Light.    

Extremely low voter turnout for the Democratic Primaries (only 4% of Democrats were interested this year) is not necessarily an indication of how many Dems will show up at the ballot box (or mail box) in November.  However, the stagflationary crisis, the draconian covid lockdowns, unnecessary tensions with Russia and the border crisis that Biden created by erasing numerous Trump era measures have definitely left the American public with a sour taste in their mouths.

People are less inclined to forget government trespasses than political think tanks seem to realize.  They're definitely not going to overlook 30%-plus higher prices on most goods and services since 2020.  One must truly struggle to think of a single positive result of Biden's last three years.  Even the low unemployment rate is mired in the suspicious creative math used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the public just isn't buying it.   

One could argue that the election of 2024 isn't about which candidate is loved; it's about which candidate is less hated or mistrusted.  Under these conditions, Trump clearly wins.  Others would point out that ongoing national and global instability might disrupt the elections or throw them into disarray (as we witnessed when the covid pandemic struck in the middle of election season 2020 and mail-in ballots became a mainstay).  

If this is the case, the Biden Administration would be a primary beneficiary.  As it turns out, the long running propaganda campaign to demonize conservatives might have had the opposite effect to what Democrats intended.  Biden might need more than another overnight miracle in November to keep his seat in the Oval Office.        

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