1958-2025年1/72(22毫米)比例塑料士兵年产量
Annual Production of 1/72 (22mm) scale plastic soldiers, 1958-2025

原始链接: https://plasticsoldierreview.com/ShowFeature.aspx?id=27

## 塑料人偶收藏:黄金时代及未来 塑料人偶收藏爱好在过去几十年经历了显著的波动,目前正处于许多人称之为“黄金时代”的时期,新品发布和制造商数量激增。最初由Airfix在1960年代主导,随着Atlantic和Matchbox的加入,这项爱好在70年代蓬勃发展,达到顶峰,每年发布大量套装。 80年代出现衰退,Esci成为主要生产商,随后是Revell,然后是IMEX、Italeri和HaT。90年代末和2000年代,东欧制造商涌入市场,并在2006年达到顶峰,推出超过100个新套装。然而,经济压力和市场饱和导致了调整。 近年来,产量趋于稳定,HaT、Strelets和Caesar等公司引领潮流,同时涌现出越来越多的小型生产商。2022年俄罗斯入侵乌克兰严重扰乱了生产,影响了这项爱好的未来。展望未来,3D打印可能带来向小型设计师和可下载图案的转变,从而彻底改变制造和分销方式。尽管面临挑战,这项爱好仍然充满活力,平均每周发布超过一个新套装——与早期相比大不相同。

## 黑客新闻讨论:塑料士兵生产 (1958-2025) 最近一篇黑客新闻文章讨论了一张图表,详细说明了1958-2025年1/72比例塑料士兵的年度产量 (plasticsoldierreview.com)。 讨论很快转向了3D打印作为商业生产套装的替代方案的可行性。 一些人认为,像Bambu A1 mini这样的200美元3D打印机,在打印10套(价格约为20美元)后就能收回成本。 另一些人则反驳说,要达到与注塑成型相当的质量,需要更昂贵的树脂打印机、专用材料以及在设计和切片方面的大量工作。 时间投入和数字文件的成本也被讨论。 许多评论者强调了3D打印*过程*本身带来的乐趣,而不仅仅是最终产品。 讨论还涉及这种历史微型模型爱好与更大的战争游戏世界(如Warhammer)之间的区别,以及所使用的不同比例。 几位用户回忆起小时候玩这些玩具,通常以大而便宜的袋子购买它们。 一个关键点是图表的指标——跟踪生产的*套装*数量,而不是士兵的总量——可能会扭曲数据。
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原文

It is often said that this hobby is currently going through a 'Golden Age', with new sets appearing all the time and a record number of manufacturers satisfying demand. So we thought it would be interesting to actually quantify that, and let the statistics show just how the hobby has fared over the few decades that it has existed.

Below is a breakdown of the number of sets released each year. The figures are taken from the reviews to be found on this site, which we believe to represent all the important sets ever produced. At certain times both in the past and today, poor quality figures, usually copies, have been produced by various manufacturers such as Giant. Since we do not include these on this site they are not part of these statistics. Also note that the statistics only include 'soft' plastic sets, not hard plastic or resin, and also exclude reissues such as those from Nexus or Italeri.

During the 1960s, Airfix were the only major producer, but released three or four sets a year. In 1972, Atlantic came on the scene, producing many sets, and in 1976 Matchbox also began their range, causing the peak we see during the seventies. By the end of the 1970s the market was in serious decline, with the last new Atlantic figure set in 1978 and both Airfix and Matchbox slowing down - both had made their last set by 1983. Luckily Esci began producing their first soft plastic set in 1982, and are solely responsible for virtually all production during the 1980s, maintaining a pretty steady rate. Esci production stopped suddenly in 1989, but again a new company was to come along to keep things going - this time it was Revell. They produced around six sets a year for the first few years, and were joined by Accurate in 1991 and IMEX in 1993, both producing small quantities each year. In 1995 Italeri started making sets in small numbers, and the following year HaT released their first set. All these companies continued to produce new sets, with HaT quickly getting into their stride and outstripping all their competitors. As a result, we see production levels rising significantly in the late 1990s.

By 2000 Revell were losing interest, but Italeri, HaT and the others were in full flow, and A Call To Arms had starting to produce scaled down versions of their 1/35 range. The new century also saw debut sets from Emhar and Zvezda, but it was Italeri and HaT that were really pushing things now. 2001 witnessed the first sets from Orion and Strelets, and the East European surge grew in 2002 with sets from LW and MiniArt as well as the Italian producer Waterloo 1815. 2003 welcomed Dark Dream Studio and Lucky Toys while 2004 saw the first original figures from BUM and new output from Caesar Miniatures, Armourfast and Pegasus. 2005 continued to see real growth, with ever more companies joining the rush to make more and more figures.

2006 saw the hobby reach a peak of production, with over 100 brand new sets appearing. However manufacturers began reporting a drop in sales, partly because of a slowdown in the world economy and partly simply because the market could not afford so many new sets. Profit margins shrunk dramatically and several manufacturers have scaled down or even suspended output in favour of more profitable lines.

2007 saw a small drop in output overall as the market rebalanced towards a sustainable level.

2008 and 2009 was a time of dramatic economic difficulties worldwide, and with many economies going into recession this seemed likely to impact on the amount spent on buying new figure output. However while sales stopped growing and manufacturers reported poorer returns on each set, the number of sets produced continued to rise, with over 140 new sets in 2009. Overall spending on hobbies such as this had not been greatly effected by the economic difficulties, but the large number of new products inevitably put pressure on numbers of each set sold, and most of any particular set were sold within the first three months of release.

The years 2010 to 2013 saw something of a 'readjustment' after the frantic output of 2009, but output remained high. Each year saw over 75 brand new plastic sets, with the major contributors both in terms of diversity and numbers of products being HaT, Strelets, Caesar and Zvezda (although the last was only making their small game sets by this period). However a growing number of smaller producers also added their weight to the range, including more from Eastern Europe like RedBox and Mars, and some of these producers introduced some very exotic and unusual subjects to further widen the scope of the hobby.

The volume of new sets was, however, declining, and this became more apparent in 2014, which saw less than half the number of new releases in 2009. HaT and Mars made the most additions to their catalogue in this year, but there was little new product from past high-volume companies like Strelets and Caesar, and with companies like Zvezda and Italeri virtually leaving the market 2014 was the quietest year for a decade. This may have been partly down to economic woes in some parts of the world, but it must also be recognised that by this stage so many different subjects had been made that it was hard to think of new subjects that would prove popular enough to make a return on investment.

The following few years saw the market settle, with generally between 50 and 60 sets being made each year by companies like Mars, RedBox, Ultima Ratio and Strelets, marking the dominance of producers from Ukraine, although First to Fight of Poland and Waterloo 1815 of Italy also made their contributions. Hat, now Chinese, made a very small number of new sets each year, and Taiwanese manufacturer Caesar were still making a handful, but this too would dry up in time. 2018 saw German company Linear-A really get going with their range, again made in Ukraine, and their subjects gave a real boost to fans of the ancient world.

2022 of course saw the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which obviously had a severe effect on output from that country, and so greatly impacted the hobby. The first half of 2022 saw a dramatic reduction in output, and also an interruption in production of existing sets, so as with so much else, war has completely changed the environment, and the future is very uncertain.

At the time of writing the war in Ukraine continues, massively impacting the output of that country and making it impossible to predict the future. New product has become no more than a trickle, but naturally the course of the war, and its outcome, will have an enormous effect on the future of the hobby.

The ever more comprehensive coverage of human history was always likely to force manufacturers to either cover more marginal subjects or else repeat the output of others. RedBox and Strelets have introduced new campaigns and periods of history, which brings with it greater risks but also greater rewards, and the re-emergence of Caesar has again expanded the range of periods being covered, as has Linear-A. With the popular subjects of World War II, Napoleonics and Imperial Rome now so well covered, there must be a limit to how many new sets on a given theme that the market can stand, so new periods are vital to sustain growth, and also introduce a wider range of history to an international audience. In recent years we have seen more sets on civilian themes, and more airborne and naval subjects too. Such sets will always be welcome, but inevitably they may have less appeal in the wider market, such that larger manufacturers with higher costs may see them as not worth the risk. So the future of the hobby may well be with the smaller producers who can better control their costs and cater for the more specialist interests.

So the hobby has changed and matured a great deal over the past few decades, but the number of new sets has been consistently good over recent years, averaging more than one each week, which would have been unthinkable a generation ago. For the future however there is one technology that will have a massive impact - 3D printing. As this becomes gradually better and cheaper, we may see the end of manufacturing, replaced instead by the selling of patterns which the customer can download and use to print their own figures on their local printer. There are already many small producers who market their creations on the internet, and by avoiding the enormous costs of production and distribution, that may signal a new phase for the hobby with many small-scale designers finding it relatively easy to offer designs with few costs to recoup. However the cost of 3D printers remains high, so it seems unlikely that they will become normal equipment owned by enthusiasts for the time being, so this will likely remain a medium for small-scale producers for the foreseeable future.

This page is automatically updated each time a newly released set is recorded

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