白银价格飙升迫使太阳能制造商重新考虑材料。
Soaring Silver Prices Force Solar Makers To Rethink Materials

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/soaring-silver-prices-force-solar-makers-rethink-materials

## 太阳能行业减少对银的依赖 银价上涨正迫使隆基绿能科技、晶科能源和上海爱科能源等主要太阳能制造商减少对这种昂贵金属的依赖。隆基计划从第二季度开始大规模生产使用成本更低的贱金属,旨在在行业供过于求和利润空间收缩的情况下降低模块成本。 银已成为太阳能电池生产中最昂贵的组件(过去一年价格从模块成本的3%上升到17%以上),由于投资者需求和地缘政治因素,其价格几乎翻了两倍。虽然向铜等替代品过渡面临挑战——包括更高的组装成本和可靠性问题,尤其是在流行的TOPCon电池中——但这一转变正变得至关重要。 尽管存在这些障碍,彭博新能源财经预测明年太阳能行业对银的需求将下降7%,即使全球太阳能安装量预计将增加15%。这预示着向更经济实惠的太阳能技术迈出的重大转变。

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原文

Longi Green Energy Technology Co. is preparing a major shift in how it makes solar cells, moving away from heavy reliance on silver and toward lower-cost base metals as the industry grapples with rising material prices and shrinking margins, according to Bloomberg.

The company said it will begin large-scale production using base metals in the second quarter, a step it expects will “further lower the costs of solar modules,” according to a regulatory filing on Monday.

The decision comes as solar manufacturers — the largest industrial users of silver — face intense competition and oversupply, making the recent surge in silver prices especially painful.

Investor demand tied to geopolitical uncertainty and US interest-rate cuts has driven prices sharply higher, turning silver into the most expensive component of solar cell production.

Bloomberg notes that silver prices almost tripled last year and climbed above $84 an ounce in late May. At October’s roughly $50-per-ounce level, the metal made up more than 17% of the cost of solar modules, compared with just 3% in 2023, data from BloombergNEF show.

Longi is not alone.

Jinko Solar Co. expects to roll out base-metal panels at scale this year, while Shanghai Aiko Solar Energy Co. has already launched commercial production of silver-free cells with 6.5 gigawatts of initial capacity.

Longi’s use of back-contact solar cells gives it more flexibility to replace silver than producers using the dominant TOPCon technology, though the company has said the transition still brings challenges.

BloombergNEF notes that copper and other alternatives raise assembly costs and create reliability concerns, particularly for TOPCon cells, whose manufacturing process makes substitution difficult.

Even with those hurdles, demand for silver from the solar industry is forecast to drop 7% next year, even as global solar installations climb about 15%, according to BNEF.

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