白银暴跌30%,创1980年以来最大单日跌幅,黄金也大幅下跌。
Silver plunges 30% in worst day since 1980, gold tumbles

原始链接: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/30/silver-gold-fall-price-usd-dollar-fed-warsh-chair-trump-metals.html

## 黄金和白银暴跌,Fed主席提名成导火索 周五,黄金和白银经历了大幅抛售,现货白银暴跌28%,现货黄金下跌约9%。 这一事件的起因是有关唐纳德·特朗普提名凯文·沃什为下一任美联储主席的报道,缓解了人们对央行独立性的担忧。 此消息引发美元走强,使得贵金属对国际买家来说更加昂贵。 跌势因近期因地缘政治紧张局势和美元走弱而涌入黄金和白银的投资者获利了结而加剧。 杠杆头寸的保证金追缴进一步加剧了下行压力,导致白银期货和相关ETF出现创纪录的损失。 分析师认为,市场此前已经“定价”了更温和的美联储主席,而沃什的提名代表了预期的转变。 虽然一些人认为跌势可能只是暂时的“鞭策”,但另一些人指出,贵金属市场过度扩张的仓位和集中风险是促成因素。 尽管大幅下跌,但一些人仍认为黄金的长期投资逻辑依然存在,理由是持续的地缘政治风险以及外国对美国资产持有潜在的担忧。

## 银与金价暴跌 - Hacker News 总结 近期 CNBC 报道称银价暴跌 30%——自 1980 年以来最大单日跌幅——引发了 Hacker News 的讨论。金价也出现显著下跌,回到了上周的水平。 评论员普遍认为,此次暴跌是由于近期不可持续的价格飙升后的修正,而价格飙升部分得益于 TikTok 等平台上的推广(“拉高出货”)。一些人推测存在“纸银”与实物银价的操纵,特别是提到了与上海定价的差异。 尽管跌幅很大,但有人指出长期投资者仍然获利,尤其是那些在 2016 年之前购买的人。讨论还涉及潜在的政治因素,有用户认为特朗普的支持者大量投资这些金属,并质疑他的家人是否从下跌中获利。尽管对人工智能支出分析存在担忧,但许多人认为这种波动性凸显了这些市场的投机性质。
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原文

Argor-Heraeus' CEO Robin Kolvenbach holds one kilo bars of silver and gold at the plant of refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022.

Denis Balibouse | Reuters

Gold and silver prices plunged Friday, as President Donald Trump's nomination for the next chair of the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, appeared to relieve concerns about the central bank's independence and sent the dollar soaring.

Spot silver was down 28% at $83.45 an ounce, trading near its lows of the day. Silver futures plummeted 31.4% to settle at $78.53, marking its worst day since March 1980.

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Spot silver

Meanwhile, spot gold shed around 9% to trade at $4,895.22 an ounce. Gold futures dropped 11.4% to settle at $4,745.10.

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Spot gold

The sharp moves down were initially triggered by reports of Warsh's nomination. However, they gained steam in afternoon U.S. trading as investors who piled into the metals raced to book profits. Metals were also under pressure as the dollar spiked higher, making it more expensive for foreign investors to buy gold and silver and spoiling the theory that metals would replace the greenback as the globe's reserve currency.

The dollar index last traded around 0.8% higher.

"This is getting crazy," said Matt Maley, equity strategist at Miller Tabak. "Most of this is probably 'forced selling.' This has been the hottest asset for day traders and other short-term traders recently. So, there has been some leverage built up in silver. With the huge decline today, the margin calls went out."

Trump picks Warsh

National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett had been the favorite to replace Powell for some time, but Warsh became the front-runner in prediction markets in recent days.

In a note on Friday morning, Evercore ISI's Krishna Guha said the market was "trading Warsh hawkish."

"The Warsh pick should help stabilize the dollar some and reduce (though not eliminate) the asymmetric risk of deep extended dollar weakness by challenging debasement trades – which is also why gold and silver are sharply lower," the firm's vice chairman said.

"But, we advise against overdoing the Warsh hawkish trade across asset markets – and even see some risk of a whipsaw. We see Warsh as a pragmatist not an ideological hawk in the tradition of the independent conservative central banker."

Claudio Wewel, FX strategist at J. Safra Sarasin Sustainable Asset Management, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Friday that a "perfect storm" of geopolitical tensions had helped precious metals move higher this year, pointing to the U.S. capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and Washington's threats to use military force in Greenland and Iran.

More recently, he said, speculation over who would be nominated as the next Fed chair had been influencing metals markets.

"The market has clearly been pricing the risk of a much more dovish contender, that's been largely helping the gold price along with other precious metal prices. Over the last 24 hours, the news flow has changed a little bit," Wewel said, prior to Trump's announcement.

'Even good assets can sell-off'

Gold and silver both enjoyed record-smashing rallies in 2025, surging 66% and 135%, respectively, over the course of the year.

Coeur Mining lost 17%. Silver ETFs were dragged into the action, with the ProShares Ultra Silver fund last seen more than 62% lower. The iShares Silver Trust ETF lost 31%. Both funds were headed for their worst days on record.

Precious metals have been on a stellar rally over the past 12 months, amid broader market volatility, the decline of the U.S. dollar, bubbling geopolitical tensions and concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve.

Katy Stoves, investment manager at British wealth management firm Mattioli Woods, told CNBC on Friday morning that the moves were likely "a market-wide reassessment of concentration risk."

 "Just as tech stocks — particularly AI-related names — have dominated market attention and capital flows, gold has similarly seen intense positioning and crowding," she said. "When everyone is leaning the same way, even good assets can sell off as positions get unwound. The parallel isn't accidental: both represent areas where capital has flooded in based on powerful narratives, and concentrated positions eventually face their day of reckoning."

Meanwhile, Toni Meadows, head of investment at BRI Wealth Management, contended that gold's run to the $5,000 mark had happened "too easily." He noted that the unwinding of the greenback had supported gold prices, but that the dollar had appeared to stabilize.

"Central bank buying has driven the longer-term rally but this has tailed off in recent months," he said. "The case for further reserve diversification is still there though as Trump's trade policies and intervention in foreign affairs will make a lot of countries nervous about holding U.S. assets, especially those countries in the emerging markets or aligned to China or Russia. Silver will mirror the direction of gold, so it is not surprising to see falls there."

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