美国法院裁决导致委内瑞拉石油支持债券崩溃
US Court Ruling Sends Venezuela’s Oil-Backed Bonds into Collapse

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/us-court-ruling-sends-venezuelas-oil-backed-bonds-collapse

上周,美国法院做出的一项裁决引起了世界石油市场的混乱。 纽约州上诉法院裁定,价值 20 亿美元的委内瑞拉国有委内瑞拉国家石油公司 (PDVSA) 债券的有效性应基于证券发行地的当地法律。 这一决定是在该国反对派提出上诉后做出的,他们认为这些债务工具违反了现行立法,因为它没有获得该国议会的批准。 目前,这场法律斗争使委内瑞拉与外国贷款机构展开了对立,其中许多贷款机构因国内恶性通货膨胀、高利率和政治动荡而面临着收回欠款的挑战。 此外,围绕PVDSA持有Citgo Holdings 5​​0.1%股权的争议也使事情变得复杂化。Citgo Holdings是CITGO的子公司,CITGO是一家总部位于德克萨斯州休斯顿的美国跨国能源公司,在整个北美和加勒比地区提供石油产品。 通过宣布 PDVSA 债券无效,委内瑞拉政府可能会试图避免偿还与这些金融安排相关的部分未偿贷款。 然而,此举可能会伤害普通委内瑞拉人,他们依靠国有化石油工业的收入来维持基本生计,而通货膨胀猖獗,粮食短缺严重,社会服务减少。 批评者认为,用于偿还或重新谈判债务的现金流反而会更好地服务于受 COVID-19 大流行经济影响最严重的全国社区的公共工程项目、医疗保健计划、教育和基础设施发展的投资。 短期内,这种情况可能会影响全球能源市场动态,因为委内瑞拉的大部分原油产量都流经与全球炼油网络相连的加勒比海港口、管道和油轮码头。 因此,鉴于对海外供应的广泛依赖以及影响生产配额的地缘政治因素,委内瑞拉国家石油公司或任何其他主要生产商违约可能会导致消费者端点的汽油和取暖燃料成本飙升。 此外,当政府严重依赖昂贵的贷款而不是税收收入来满足财政需求或国内预算分配时,通过债券销售获得的资金减少的长期影响可能会导致整体借贷成本上升。 注册

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原文

By Charles Kennedy of OilPrice.com

A day after a New York court ruling that Venezuelan law would determine the validity of bonds issued by state-run PDVSA oil company, Bloomberg reports that bonds have “collapsed”, slumping on questions over their validity. At stake is $2 billion in PDVSA bonds, and PDVSA notes dropped 17 cents following Tuesday’s ruling, according to Bloomberg. 

On Tuesday, the New York State Court of Appeals ruled on the matter after Venezuelan opposition, which controls the state-run oil company’s U.S. assets, said the bonds set to mature in 2020 were invalid because they had not been approved by Venezuela’s National Assembly. The New York Court of Appeals ruled that validity must be determined by local law in the place of issuance. 

Venezuela’s opposition is seeking to have the bonds invalidated because they are backed by a 50.1% stake in Citgo Holding, the holding group that gives state-run PDVSA ownership of Citgo. In turn, bond invalidation would prevent creditors from seizing Citgo, Reuters reports.

In mid-October, PDVSA bonds soared after the Biden administration moved to allow U.S. investors to buy the bonds in line with a sanctions relief package for Venezuela. The removal of those restrictions led to a 10-cent jump in Venezuelan government bonds immediately, along with a doubling of the price of PDVSA bonds. Bloomberg reported. 

The bonds are highly attractive to U.S. investors because of their price and hedging that relations between the U.S. and Venezuela will eventually normalize. 

“The lifting of the trading ban is likely to unleash significant pent-up demand from US persons,” London-based EMFI’s senior strategist, Guillermo Guerrero, wrote in a note carried by Bloomberg in October.  “This, alongside the general optimism that these developments will inevitably bring, guarantees a significant rise in bond prices.”

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