是什么? OJ期货崩溃自1968年以来的大多数
What Snapped? OJ Futures Crash Most Since 1968

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/what-snapped-oj-futures-crash-most-1968

纽约市的橙色期货经历了57年的显着低谷,连续十次会议的价格下降。这种急剧下降的原因仍然未知。自12月达到创纪录的高高以来,期货下降了41%,标志着自1968年以来每周最大的百分比下降(22.5%)。市场动态已经从向后转移到Contango,表明供应限制的潜在降低。尽管抛售严重程度,但对于可能的因素是可能的因素,尽管天气条件或流动性紧缩的改善,但尚无明确的解释。


原文

Orange futures in New York are on track for the sharpest weekly drop in 57 years. Over the past several weeks, the market has been engulfed in a downright panic, with prices sliding for ten consecutive sessions. The catalyst behind the sharp selloff remains unclear. 

By Friday afternoon, the weekly percentage change for orange juice futures in New York was 22.5%, marking the worst weekly decline since the first week of November 1968.

OJ futs established a record high of $5.5 a pound in mid-December on news that Florida's citrus production fell to the lowest levels since 1930. Since the peak, about two months later, the maximum drawdown has been a whopping 41%. 

The futures spread between the March and May orange juice contracts has shifted from backwardation to contango, signaling a drastic change in market dynamics and potential easing of near-term supply constraints. 

No single factor is driving the sharp decline in orange juice contracts - that we can see. There's no word on whether drivers include improved weather conditions in Florida and Brazil or a liquidity crunch forced long positions to unwind in panic. Whatever the catalyst, the selloff was swift and severe.

The OJ crash brings to mind the movie "Trading Places," starring Eddie Murphy and Dan Aykroyd, in which the duo profits from a collapse in frozen concentrated orange juice futures contracts.

The iconic line from the movie: "Sell, Mortimer! Sell!"

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